Probably not this November.
Young voters, and by that I mean people like me, could be the Democrats’ big white steed in this fall’s mid-term elections. To be honest the polling data doesn’t look good for the Dems and hasn’t since April.
Young people, ages 18 to 29, are vastly more in favor of Democrats than any other age group. 51% favor the donkeys while only 31% like elephants.
Gallup has a new poll showing that all the many groups who helped boost Obama to victory in 2008 have lost much of their mojo in regards to 2010.
Young adult’s level of interest has sunken from it’s former fervor and returned to historical norms.
Could my generation be the silver bullet? Atrios tweeted the other day that this coming mid-term election will prove once and for all that America is a center right country. But I think that if you look at the numbers, those in the 65+ age group are also the most conservative, with around 50% favoring Republicans on a generic ballot. Not to be callous, but over time this block of voters will cease to exist. It’s simply demographics.
This more conservative older generation will be replaced by a more liberal younger generation. Assuming those who follow the millennials are as liberal as their predecessors, it becomes hard to see how America will remain center right.
Obviously this scenario will take 20 to 30 years to play out. For those concerned with the present, in my opinion the only way Democrats have a shot in November is to seriously energize young voters. Because, with them it is not a matter of changing their minds, just getting them to the polling station.